Current:Home > reviewsMost believe Trump probably guilty of crime as his NYC trial comes to an end, CBS News poll finds -ProfitBlueprint Hub
Most believe Trump probably guilty of crime as his NYC trial comes to an end, CBS News poll finds
View
Date:2025-04-18 01:49:27
As Donald Trump's trial in New York City nears closing arguments, most Americans believe he is guilty of a crime in this case. But they are less sure what the jury will do after it deliberates next week.
Fifty-six percent — a majority — say Trump is definitely or probably guilty of a crime in this case, in which he has been charged with falsifying business records to hide a "hush money" payment and influence the 2016 election.
Opinions are highly partisan, with nearly all Democrats believing Trump is guilty and about eight in 10 Republicans saying the opposite. Republicans are less certain in their views. While three in four Democrats say he is "definitely" guilty, only half of Republicans say he is "definitely" not.
The public is more split on what they think the jury will decide, with about half expecting jurors to find Trump guilty and half saying the opposite. And views on both sides are far from certain. For example, far more say jurors will "probably" convict Trump than "definitely" convict him.
If people believe Trump's guilty, they tend to believe the jury will convict him. And vice versa for those who believe he isn't guilty of a crime. But about a third in each group expect the jury to decide the opposite of what they themselves believe.
Overall, about three quarters of Americans report having heard or read at least some about the trial. And those who say they have heard "a lot" about it are the most polarized in their views — they are likelier to identify as strong partisans and express more confidence in Trump's guilt or innocence, potentially blunting the impact of a verdict on the public's views.
This CBS News/YouGov survey was conducted with a nationally representative sample of 1,402 U.S. adult residents interviewed between May 14-21, 2024. The data includes an oversample in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The sample was weighted by gender, age, race, and education, based on the U.S. Census American Community Survey and Current Population Survey, as well as past vote. The margin of error is ±4.4 points.
Toplines
- In:
- Donald Trump
- Stormy Daniels
- Trial
Kabir Khanna is Deputy Director, Elections & Data Analytics at CBS News. He conducts surveys, develops statistical models, and projects races at the network Decision Desk. His scholarly research centers on political behavior and methodology. He holds a PhD in political science from Princeton University.
TwitterveryGood! (7434)
Related
- Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Hi Hi!
- 2 new cases of chronic wasting disease found in Alabama deer
- Bryant Gumbel opens up to friend Jane Pauley on CBS News Sunday Morning
- Prince Harry and Duchess Meghan release their 2023 holiday card: What's inside
- Intellectuals vs. The Internet
- The FDA is investigating whether lead in applesauce pouches was deliberately added
- Pro Picks: Josh Allen and the Bills will slow down Dallas and edge the Cowboys in a shootout
- 'Heartbroken': Third beluga whale 'Kharabali' passes at Mystic Aquarium in 2 years
- Paige Bueckers vs. Hannah Hidalgo highlights women's basketball games to watch
- Costco members buy over $100 million in gold bars, stock rises after earnings call
Ranking
- Former longtime South Carolina congressman John Spratt dies at 82
- Black American solidarity with Palestinians is rising and testing longstanding ties to Jewish allies
- The Hilarious Reason Ice-T Sits Out This Holiday Tradition With Wife Coco Austin and Daughter Chanel
- The leaders of Italy, the UK and Albania meet in Rome to hold talks on migration
- Justice Department, Louisville reach deal after probe prompted by Breonna Taylor killing
- The leaders of Italy, the UK and Albania meet in Rome to hold talks on migration
- Demi Lovato and Jutes Are Engaged: See Her Ring
- Fire destroys a Los Angeles-area church just before Christmas
Recommendation
'Squid Game' without subtitles? Duolingo, Netflix encourage fans to learn Korean
Apple settles Family Sharing plan lawsuit for $25 million. See if you're eligible for payout
How to watch 'Born in Synanon,' the docuseries about a cult led by Charles 'Chuck' Dederich
Quaker Oats recalls granola products because of concerns of salmonella contamination
Apple iOS 18.2: What to know about top features, including Genmoji, AI updates
NFL bans Eagles head of security Dom DiSandro from sidelines for rest of regular season
A vibrant art scene in Uganda mirrors African boom as more collectors show interest
Britain says a Royal Navy ship has shot down an attack drone over the Red Sea